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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Future-Tarot-Trader | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (317–112, n=429) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $321K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #607 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 52% (75 of 145 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 437 at avg 74¢, ROI +11% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 48) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 88% of 16) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 97% of 59) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 72% (won 100% of 314) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Future-Tarot-Trader | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $43K | Over $6.8K |
| Spread: Bengals (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $27 | Bengals $2.5K |
| Spread: Bengals (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | — | — | Bengals $908 | Falcons $1.5K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $41 | — | Yes $97 |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Bengals $8.8K | Bengals $7.4K |
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.6K | Under $11K |
| Spread: Bengals (-16.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Bengals $6.7K | Bengals $2.6K |