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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| George.Smiley | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (144–49, n=193) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #508 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (12 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 158 at avg 73¢, ROI +14% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 45% of 20) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 64% of 14) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 93% of 15) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 99% of 109) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | George.Smiley | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |