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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gucky-45BreakTheBankbeachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)33% (745–1518, n=2263)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$166K$11.0M$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #346PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (40 of 60 open)87% (143 of 164 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=52—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢98% (won 2% of 1883)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 29% of 21)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 70% of 10)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 75% of 4)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGucky-45BreakTheBankbeachboy4sainttroplay
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $425No $253K——
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19Yes $200——
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19Yes $200——
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11Yes $200——
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11Yes $200——