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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HOG993 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (503–703, n=1206) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | -$352K | $14.8M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=36 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 11% of 1040 at avg 9¢, ROI +1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 91% (won 7% of 942) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 41% of 59) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 60% of 25) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 14) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HOG993 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Under $129 | — |