Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTrading00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (3182–2646, n=5828)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus68% (43 of 63 open)no open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)80% (57 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTrading00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $102——Commanders $1.0M
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Eagles $1.2KCommanders $32K
Senators vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $2—Ducks $657—
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $44—
Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3—Over $10—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $6—Raptors $4—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $3.6KCommanders $161K
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Yanki Erel
Yanki Erel $1—Yanki Erel $12K—
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $376—Yes $1.1K—
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $24—No $912—
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $26—No $166—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Clippers $7—Clippers $14—