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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (87 of 174 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (7 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $160 | Magic $76K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $177 | Magic $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $11 | Magic $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $51K | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $29 | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |