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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTradingsainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$11K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus56% (57 of 102 open)no open consensus position71% (15 of 21 open)52% (11 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTradingsainttroplayRN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $3—Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138—Felipe de Dios $1—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Valentin Garay $2—Nicolas Bruna $17—
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $29——Chargers $1.1K
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Ryan Seggerman $13—Ryan Seggerman $294—
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1—Over $20—