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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Haradwaith | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (3270–4728, n=7998) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | -$460K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #288 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (562 of 781 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Haradwaith | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $29 | No $51 |
| Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $87 | Yes $2.5K |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? same side · consensus No | No $87 | No $2.4K |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $86 | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $66 | Yes $525 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? same side · consensus No | Yes $173 | Yes $22 |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? same side · consensus No | Yes $58 | Yes $10 |