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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHaradwaithndb1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)41% (3270–4728, n=7998)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$3.3M-$460K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #258PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensus66% (280 of 425 open)74% (537 of 729 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)53% (won 3% of 2055)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 35% of 170)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)5% (won 54% of 178)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)38% (won 89% of 1442)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHaradwaithndb1
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $29No $51
Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $187Yes $2.5K
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $99No $2.4K
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $86Yes $1.9K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $66Yes $525
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $173Yes $22