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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HerrieDavis | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (926–2525, n=3451) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$761K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (154 of 202 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (9 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 2291 at avg 53¢, ROI −3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 30% of 695) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 93% of 245) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 98% of 387) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 964) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HerrieDavis | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $73 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |