← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HerrieDavis | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (926–2525, n=3451) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | -$761K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (153 of 201 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 2291 at avg 53¢, ROI −3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 30% of 695) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 93% of 245) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 98% of 387) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 964) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HerrieDavis | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $73 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |