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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | CORGII | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3505–2988, n=6493) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $4.5M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | CORGII | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $50K | — | Commanders $675 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $40K | — | Commanders $65 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.3K | — | Over $222 | — |