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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3488–2983, n=6471) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $36K | — | — | Commanders $24K |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $212 | Steelers $14 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $459 | — | — | Commanders $1.2M |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $13K | — | — | Commanders $30K |