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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Hyperlongjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (307–329, n=636)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL-$85K$5.3M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #2PM monthly #105PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (115 of 188 open)no open consensus position69% (59 of 86 open)58% (29 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCrypto −6 pts, n=84—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won47% of 611 at avg 48¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 3% of 263)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 33% of 40)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 55% of 47)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 261)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHyperlongjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $170—No $335K—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.1K—Yes $29—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $358—No $173—
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
No $504—No $408—
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $130—No $678—
Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
same side · consensus No
No $315—No $220—