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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllll | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (569–555, n=1124) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $114K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #957 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #37 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 45% (53 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 19% of 433) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 51% of 110) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 76% of 119) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 94% of 234) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllll | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | — | — | Iowa State $16K | Baylor $21K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $4.2K | LSU $39 |
| Spread: Delaware (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Delaware | — | — | Delaware $2.1K | Kennesaw State $1.6K |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.3K | Over $619 |
| Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $405 |
| Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $565 | Under $500 |
| Spread: Iowa (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Iowa $385 | Northwestern $526 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $175K | Notre Dame $25K |
| Georgia vs. Ole Miss same side · consensus Georgia | — | — | Georgia $14K | Georgia $5.5K |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Under $4.2K |
| Spread: Tennessee (-5.5) same side · consensus Kentucky | — | — | Kentucky $1.7K | Kentucky $1.0K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $56 | Notre Dame $2.5K |
| Spread: Kansas (-2.5) same side · consensus UCF | — | — | UCF $1.9K | UCF $3 |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $16 |