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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Imbleciar | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (19–6, n=25) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #803 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (127 of 142 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 25 at avg 70¢, ROI +9% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 33% of 3) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 33% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 83% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Imbleciar | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | No $253K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $9.9K | — | — | Yes $30K |