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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Jest55sainttroplayBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)76% (595–192, n=787)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$107K$4.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus84% (41 of 49 open)no open consensus position72% (78 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections −6 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won76% of 1078 at avg 71¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 15% of 149)0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 47% of 122)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 75% of 138)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 95% of 669)0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJest55sainttroplayBreakTheBankCORGII
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $357—Yes $1.1K—