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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JustADonkCORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)56% (877–689, n=1566)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$8.0K$4.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #428PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (73 of 99 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=100——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won56% of 1581 at avg 57¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 17% of 175)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 299)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 58% of 717)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 83% of 390)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJustADonkCORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $1.7K—Cardinals $3.0K—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $3.4K—Chiefs $465K—