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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| KaguyaNg | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (286–263, n=549) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #924 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −18 pts, n=21 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 427 at avg 49¢, ROI +28% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 21% of 86) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 48% of 121) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 72% of 166) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 54) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KaguyaNg | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $41 | Yes $270K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $433 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 |