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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (812–758, n=1570) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $4.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #240 | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (44 of 76 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 66% (116 of 175 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $16 | — | Over $7.8K | — |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa | Sarah Van Emst $2 | — | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K | — |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel same side · consensus Gina Feistel | Gina Feistel $2.8K | — | Gina Feistel $1.6K | — |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $54 | — | Under $4.2K | — |
| Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme same side · consensus Robin Montgomery | Jeline Vandromme $3.0K | — | Jeline Vandromme $679 | — |
| Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka same side · consensus Martyna Kubka | Martyna Kubka $599 | — | Martyna Kubka $2.4K | — |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $186 | — | Under $1.5K | — |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $13 | — | No $1.2K | — |
| Kashima Antlers leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $169 | — | No $210 | — |
| W50 Heraklion: Ariana Geerlings vs Matilde Paoletti same side · consensus Matilde Paoletti | Matilde Paoletti $3 | — | Matilde Paoletti $350 | — |