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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LuckyLoo | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (8725–9620, n=18345) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) |
| Consensus PnL | $59K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #328 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | College Basketball −9 pts, n=137 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3624 at avg 64¢, ROI +38% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 99% of 361) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 34% (won 6% of 1254) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 782) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 25% (won 36% of 922) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 827) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 29% (won 64% of 1045) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 1654) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 12% (won 89% of 431) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LuckyLoo | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $65 | Yes $1.3K |
| Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm same side · consensus Lucas Poullain | Yannik Kelm $5 | Yannik Kelm $1 | — | — |