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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LuckyWin | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (771–112, n=883) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $31K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (73 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LuckyWin | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |