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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MenacingTurtleBreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)51% (106–102, n=208)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$136K$10.6M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #492PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus74% (64 of 86 open)90% (149 of 165 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=131, ROI −3%
  • MLB +6 pts n=18, ROI −10%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won66% of 164 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 7% of 43)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 27% of 11)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 82% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 95% of 99)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMenacingTurtleBreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.2KYes $22K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45Yes $164—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1KYes $15K—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $8.8K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $429Yes $2.6K—