← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Michael-The-Taxiarch | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (57–41, n=98) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $48K | $3.6M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #563 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 45% (won 7% of 44) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 50% of 12) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 70% of 10) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 97% of 32) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Michael-The-Taxiarch | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $2.0K | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K |