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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 58% (57–41, n=98) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $48K | $3.6M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #563 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 45% (won 7% of 44) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 12% (won 50% of 12) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 10% (won 70% of 10) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 97% of 32) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | — | Over $19K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | — | Bilibili Gaming $2.0K | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $12K | — | Bears $5.5K | — |