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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MinevaJRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (531–340, n=871)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL-$38K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #827PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)59% (91 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won95% of 701 at avg 72¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 76% of 63)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 85% of 75)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 96% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 100% of 434)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMinevaJRN1
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.8KOver $358
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.0KOver $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0KNo $2.6K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $78No $516
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $57Over $526
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1No $26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $764Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1KOver $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1KOver $382
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $38Under $1.0K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $25Under $668
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7Yes $54