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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MinevaJRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (531–340, n=871)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$38K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #827PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)67% (22 of 33 open)73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won95% of 701 at avg 72¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 76% of 63)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 85% of 75)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 96% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 100% of 434)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMinevaJRN1BreakTheBank
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0KNo $2.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $764Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1KOver $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1KOver $382—