← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | CORGII | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (161–47, n=208) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (27 of 31 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=27 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 185 at avg 65¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 33) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 79% of 19) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 71% of 31) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 94% of 102) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | CORGII | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $279 | — | Yes $68 | — |