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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (217–237, n=454) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 73% (27 of 37 open) | 55% (38 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 47% (won 100% of 83) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 82) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Jets | Jets $60K | — | Jets $393 |
| Spread: Ohio (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio | Akron $28K | — | Akron $563 |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Maple Leafs | Utah $8.9K | — | Utah $678 |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $8.9K | — | Under $204 |
| Stars vs. Capitals same side · consensus Stars | Stars $328 | — | Stars $118 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17 | — | Under $353 |