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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 48% (217–237, n=454) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | -$64K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 44% (12 of 27 open) | 73% (27 of 37 open) | 57% (44 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 47% (won 100% of 83) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 46% (won 100% of 82) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Jets | — | Jets $60K | — | Jets $393 |
| Spread: Ohio (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Akron $28K | — | Akron $563 |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $8.9K | — | Under $204 |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Maple Leafs | — | Utah $7.7K | — | Utah $678 |
| Hurricanes vs. Predators same side · consensus Hurricanes | — | Predators $167 | — | Predators $506 |
| Stars vs. Capitals same side · consensus Stars | — | Stars $511 | — | Stars $118 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $17 | — | Under $353 |