← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | CORGII | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2411 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1149) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 989) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | CORGII | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Heroic | Heroic $246 | B8 $22K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $25 | — | — | Broncos $7.4K |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) same side · consensus Rams | Rams $73 | — | — | Rams $4 |