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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NoMoreMisterCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)80% (7884–1934, n=9818)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$33K$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #459PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus94% (15 of 16 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won93% of 9125 at avg 89¢, ROI −3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 29% of 366)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 45% of 282)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 69% of 460)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 99% of 8017)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNoMoreMisterCORGIIbeachboy4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $4.2K