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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Oompa-LoompaRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)70% (1736–753, n=2489)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$144K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)58% (85 of 146 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=11—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won72% of 3545 at avg 68¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 11% of 663)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 44% of 338)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 67% of 418)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 96% of 2126)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.