Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (729–607, n=1336)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$708K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position89% (143 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +41 pts n=88, ROI +45%
  • Esports +37 pts n=198, ROI +35%
  • NFL +36 pts n=82, ROI +43%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=45———
Settled positions, side won86% of 888 at avg 58¢, ROI +29%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 33% of 82)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 84% of 233)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 91% of 322)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 98% of 251)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPEYZ-BIGGEST-FANRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $22K——Yes $34K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K——Yes $15K