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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PaddyAlphaCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (541–258, n=799)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$22K$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (67 of 112 open)0% (0 of 4 open)57% (89 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won82% of 928 at avg 78¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 10% of 146)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 67% of 27)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 79% of 52)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 97% of 703)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.