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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Parz1vaI | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (2208–813, n=3021) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $780K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #393 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (40 of 45 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (53 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=126 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 3745 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 9% of 720) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 40% of 323) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 62% of 517) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 95% of 2185) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Parz1vaI | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $39K | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | Yes $38K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13K | — | Yes $28K |