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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| PutsOnPeace | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (664–381, n=1045) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 49% (345–353, n=698) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (66 of 97 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −17 pts, n=10 | — | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1260 at avg 60¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 8% of 356) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 0% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 38% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 38% (won 43% of 266) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 69% of 160) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 61% (won 54% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 97% of 642) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | PutsOnPeace | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $285 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $219 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $142 | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $144 | Yes $83K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $72 | No $29K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $10 | Yes $6.8K | — | — |