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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RJW1BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)45% (114–138, n=252)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$135K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #701PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)73% (72 of 98 open)58% (26 of 45 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +51 pts n=97, ROI +51%
  • NBA +54 pts n=26, ROI +52%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 126 at avg 47¢, ROI +51%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 12)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 95% of 44)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢56% (won 100% of 70)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRJW1BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $121KNo $407K——
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $29KMagic $24K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—