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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)47% (14225–15839, n=30064)55% (670–559, n=1229)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #322
Sides with the consensus54% (38 of 71 open)58% (55 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1Venusian
Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5KUnder $71
Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $69
Luanda: Laura Boehner vs Madhurima Sawant
opposite sides · consensus Laura Boehner
Madhurima Sawant $409Laura Boehner $7
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Ziga Sesko
opposite sides · consensus Ziga Sesko
Ziga Sesko $47Loann Massard $40
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Arthur Fery
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $901Quentin Halys $21K
Rolex Paris Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Andrey Rublev
Tomas Etcheverry $6.3KTomas Etcheverry $5.6K
Chennai Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $9.7KPolina Kudermetova $689
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Sada Nahimana
same side · consensus Sada Nahimana
Sada Nahimana $10Sada Nahimana $1.3K
Taipei: Mili Poljicak vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Sho Shimabukuro
Mili Poljicak $17Mili Poljicak $5
Exact Score: Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 0 Daejeon Citizen FC?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11Yes $9