Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)54% (682–570, n=1252)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$14.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #431
Sides with the consensus75% (83 of 110 open)47% (18 of 38 open)58% (56 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1Venusian
Chennai Open: Jodie Burrage vs Vaishnavi Adkar
opposite sides · consensus Vaishnavi Adkar
—Jodie Burrage $3.2KVaishnavi Adkar $2.1K
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC
—Manchester United FC $2.3KAS Roma $3
Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Rada Zolotareva $30Lucrezia Stefanini $1.3K
Taranto: Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Peniston
—Ryan Peniston $1.2KMarcus Walters $3
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
—Novak Djokovic $17KNovak Djokovic $12K
Luanda: Gina Feistel vs Linda Klimovicova
same side · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Gina Feistel $18KGina Feistel $4.6K
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Edas Butvilas
same side · consensus Laslo Djere
—Laslo Djere $3.1KLaslo Djere $236