Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)54% (682–570, n=1252)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$14.8M$22K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #431
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)43% (16 of 37 open)60% (56 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4RN1Venusian
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Paula Badosa
opposite sides · consensus Paula Badosa
—Paula Badosa $16KElena Pridankina $399
Chennai Open: Jodie Burrage vs Vaishnavi Adkar
opposite sides · consensus Vaishnavi Adkar
—Jodie Burrage $8.2KVaishnavi Adkar $1.4K
Luanda: Laura Boehner vs Madhurima Sawant
opposite sides · consensus Madhurima Sawant
—Laura Boehner $2.6KMadhurima Sawant $1.8K
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC
—Manchester United FC $2.3KAS Roma $3
Taranto: Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Peniston
—Ryan Peniston $37Marcus Walters $3
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
—Novak Djokovic $16KNovak Djokovic $12K
Luanda: Gina Feistel vs Linda Klimovicova
same side · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Gina Feistel $18KGina Feistel $4.6K
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Edas Butvilas
same side · consensus Laslo Djere
—Laslo Djere $3.1KLaslo Djere $236