← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (15015–15185, n=30200) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (130 of 148 open) | 58% (11 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10937 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 8% (won 59% of 872) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 86% of 2346) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 38% (won 95% of 4200) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 99% of 3519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler | Jan Kumstat $9 | — | — | Joel Schwaerzler $26 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $85K | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $30K | Yes $3.0K |