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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Rayaya | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1148–747, n=1895) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$57K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #888 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 53% (56 of 105 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −1 pts, n=1833 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1838 at avg 62¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 12% of 59) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 38% of 245) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 61% of 984) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 76% of 550) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Rayaya | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Heroic | Heroic $1.8K | — | B8 $22K | — |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS | DENDELE CS $1.7K | — | Imperial $7.9K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |