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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ReformedxRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)52% (837–776, n=1613)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$17K$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #903PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus57% (8 of 14 open)61% (92 of 150 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +45 pts n=538, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=198, ROI +39%
  • NBA +49 pts n=25, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 834 at avg 55¢, ROI +43%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 97% of 39)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 99% of 462)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 99% of 135)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketReformedxRN100gringo00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $979No $14K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.0KSteelers $91—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.1KYes $5.8K—
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.8KOver $1.4K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0KOver $384—