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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ronaldo2100beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)69% (209–93, n=302)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$351K$5.8M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #325was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −2 pts, n=42NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won82% of 299 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 12% of 26)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 68% of 31)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 76% of 51)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 95% of 191)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRonaldo2100beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19K—No $88K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $53K—Yes $1.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $17K—Yes $38K—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—Yes $21K—