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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Sardinianshepherd | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (671–312, n=983) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $81K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (73 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 1255 at avg 70¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 12% of 170) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 47% of 109) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 71% of 167) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 94% of 809) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Sardinianshepherd | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $175 | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | — | No $35K |