← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ScottyNooo | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (313–542, n=855) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (77 of 138 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=308 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1112 at avg 45¢, ROI −3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 557) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 32% of 77) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 55% of 44) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 96% of 434) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ScottyNooo | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.1K | — | Yes $68 | — |