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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Seutervoinen | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (329–52, n=381) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $116K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #593 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (52 of 58 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=59 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 361 at avg 85¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 3% of 30) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 38% of 13) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 83% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 86% (won 98% of 312) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Seutervoinen | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $148 | — | — | No $119K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | — | Yes $85K |