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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SharkVisionBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)80% (327–84, n=411)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$108K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #537PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)25% (1 of 4 open)53% (57 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 324 at avg 71¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 12% of 58)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 50% of 18)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 75% of 44)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 97% of 204)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSharkVisionBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $19K——Jose Pereira $129
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5——No $4.1K