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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Siddhartha1 | CORGII | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (64–53, n=117) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 53% (64 of 120 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 20) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 37) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Siddhartha1 | CORGII | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $18K | — | Cowboys $605 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $12K | — | Bills $4.0K | — |